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Methodology & Sources

How we built the Country Power Tracker and what data drives the analysis.

Data Sources

Environmental Performance
Yale Environmental Performance Index (EPI) 2024

The EPI ranks 180 countries on environmental health and ecosystem vitality using 58 performance indicators across 11 issue categories. Scores range from 0 to 100, where higher values indicate better environmental performance. Categories include air quality, water & sanitation, heavy metals, biodiversity, ecosystem services, fisheries, climate change, pollution emissions, agriculture, and water resources.

Climate Policies
IEA / OECD Climate Policy Tracker

A comprehensive database of 12,470+ climate and energy policies across 217 jurisdictions maintained by the International Energy Agency. Each policy record includes the policy type (sector), instrument mechanism (e.g., tax, subsidy, standard), legal binding status, quantified targets, and current enforcement status. We classify policies into 7 sectors: Renewable Energy (RE), Cross-cutting/Framework (CF), Energy Efficiency (EEF), Fossil Phase-Down (FPD), Green Transport (GRT), Carbon Pricing & Markets (CPM), and Land Use (LU).

CO2 Emissions
Our World in Data / Global Carbon Budget 2024

National CO2 emissions data sourced from the Global Carbon Project's annual budget. Metrics include total emissions, emissions per capita, and emissions per unit GDP (carbon intensity). Time-series data allows trend analysis from 1990 to the most recent available year.

Clean Energy
IRENA Renewable Capacity Statistics 2024

Installed renewable energy generation capacity by country and technology type. Covers solar PV, onshore and offshore wind, hydropower, geothermal, biomass, and marine energy. Used to compute clean energy share as a percentage of total installed capacity.

Green Score (EPI-based)

The "green score" displayed on the globe and in country rankings is the Yale EPI 2024 composite score. It integrates 58 indicators into a single 0–100 value per country. The color scale on the globe maps scores as follows:

0–35 (Low) 35–65 (Medium) 65–100 (High) No data

Analytical Methods

Policy Attribute Extraction

We transform the raw IEA/OECD Climate Policy Tracker export into a standardized policy table used by the frontend. Each policy is assigned a sector code using rule-based mapping from the IEA topic fields with a keyword fallback when topic metadata is missing. We then classify key policy attributes—instrument type, legal binding status, and whether the policy includes quantified targets—using an LLM-assisted workflow (GPT-4o-mini) and cache the results for reuse. Policy status (e.g., "In force" vs "Ended" or "Announced") is retained so we can compute "currently in effect" counts and portfolio shares consistently across countries.

Correlation Analysis

Pearson correlation coefficient (r) measures linear association between each policy sector's share of a country's portfolio and its CO2 emissions (per capita or per GDP). Statistical significance tested via two-tailed t-test. A negative r indicates that countries with a larger share of that policy type tend to have lower CO2.

Lift Score

Lift measures how over-represented a policy characteristic is among top-performing countries.

Lift = P(top quartile | above-median sector share) / P(top quartile)

"Top quartile" = countries in the lowest 25% of CO2 per GDP among those with 5+ policies. A lift of 1.2x means a country emphasizing that sector is 20% more likely to be a top performer than the base rate.

Sector Density Normalization

To avoid bias toward large economies that naturally have more policies, we normalize by computing each sector's share as (sector count / total policies) per country. This density measure ensures we capture policy emphasis rather than raw count.

Policy Cocktails

Countries are grouped by their two most-represented policy sectors (by count). Average CO2/GDP is compared across groups containing 3+ countries to identify which sector combinations are associated with the lowest carbon intensity.

Instrument Effectiveness

For each policy instrument type (subsidies, carbon taxes, standards, bans, etc.), we split countries into "users" vs "non-users" and compare average CO2 per capita. Point-biserial correlation tests whether the presence of an instrument is associated with lower emissions.

Limitations

Correlation does not imply causation. Cross-sectional analysis cannot establish that policies directly caused lower emissions. Wealthier nations may simultaneously adopt more policies and have lower carbon intensity due to economic structure.

Policy quality vs quantity. We count policies but do not measure implementation quality, enforcement rigor, or budget allocation. A single well-funded policy may outperform dozens of poorly enforced ones.

Time lag effects. Recently enacted policies may not yet show measurable effects on emissions. This analysis compares current policy portfolios with current emissions rather than modeling dynamic trajectories.

Selection bias. Countries with better data reporting may appear to have more policies because they are better documented in the IEA/OECD tracker.

Country coverage. The EPI scores 180 countries; the policy tracker covers 217 jurisdictions. The globe visualization uses a 110m resolution topology with ~177 polygons. Some small island states and territories may not appear on the map.

Built for the 2026 Datathon · Country Power Tracker